Analysts predict Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) stock to reach $10.5 in the next 12 months

Kevin Freeman

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc [ARI] stock is trading at $9.73, down -1.52%. An important factor to consider is whether the stock is rising or falling in short-term value. The ARI shares have lost -0.21% over the last week, with a monthly amount drifted -2.51%, and not seem to be holding up well over a long-time horizon.

From an analyst’s perspective:

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc [NYSE: ARI] stock has seen the most recent analyst activity on October 20, 2025, when JP Morgan upgraded its rating to an Overweight but kept the price target unchanged to $10.50 for it. Previously, BTIG Research upgraded its rating to Buy on April 23, 2025, and kept the price target unchanged to $11. On April 07, 2025, upgrade upgraded it’s rating to Outperform but maintained its price target of $10 on the stock. BofA Securities downgraded its rating to a Underperform but $10.50 remained the price target by the analyst firm on March 04, 2024. UBS started tracking with a Neutral rating for this stock on December 06, 2023, and assigned it a price target of $10.50. In a note dated August 02, 2023, JP Morgan upgraded a Neutral rating on this stock but restated the target price of $10.50.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc [ARI] stock has fluctuated between $7.70 and $11.11 over the past year. Currently, Wall Street analysts expect the stock to reach $10.5 within the next 12 months. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc [NYSE: ARI] shares were valued at $9.73 at the most recent close of the market. An investor can expect a potential return of 7.91% based on the average ARI price forecast.

Analyzing the ARI fundamentals

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc [NYSE:ARI] reported sales of 723.28M for the trailing twelve months, which represents a growth of 117.68%. Gross Profit Margin for this corporation currently stands at 0.83% with Operating Profit Margin at 0.76%, Pretax Profit Margin comes in at 0.19%, and Net Profit Margin reading is 0.19%. To continue investigating profitability, this company’s Return on Assets is posted at 0.01, Equity is 0.07 and Total Capital is 0.06. An extended analysis of the company’s primary financial structure reveals a debt-to-equity ratio of4.04.

Before buying any particular stock, readers tend to pay close attention to the indicators that support and create resistance. The company’s stock is currently sitting at 9.67 points at the first support level, and at 9.60 for the second support level. However, for the 1st resistance point, the stock is sitting at 9.83, and for the 2nd resistance point, it is at 9.92.

Ratios To Look Out For

For context, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc’s Current Ratio is 0.35. On the other hand, the Quick Ratio is 0.35, and the Cash Ratio is 0.27. Considering the valuation of this stock, the price to sales ratio is 1.87, the price to book ratio is 0.73 and price to earnings (TTM) ratio is 10.98.

Transactions by insiders

Recent insider trading involved ROTHSTEIN STUART, President & CEO, that happened on Sep 15 ’25 when 52073.0 shares were sold. Director, STUART A ROTHSTEIN completed a deal on Sep 15 ’25 to buy 52073.0 shares. Meanwhile, President & CEO ROTHSTEIN STUART sold 52074.0 shares on Jun 16 ’25.

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